Monday, February 22, 2010

Solar Energy Profile: Straight from the Source

Every day, the Earth receives more energy from the sun than mankind uses in a year. Still, solar energy remains a tiny sliver in the global energy mix. Falling prices and better efficiency could change this, but can it happen fast enough?

When it comes to meeting energy needs, humanity has not been able to eliminate the middle man. The energy we use today comes from the sun, but we get it indirectly. Sunrays fed countless generations of plants and organisms millions of years ago, which we now use to burn to produce electricity, heat our homes, and run our cars. Its heat also strikes up the winds that we use to sail ships and run turbines. Despite our dependence on the sun, mankind has still not fully realized the potential of harnessing the sun’s vast energy directly.

Worldwide Importance and Future Trends

Even with steady annual growth, the International Energy Agency says solar energy - combined with wind and geothermal power - still only supplies less than one percent of the world’s energy. In Germany, the global solar market leader, solar supplies around 0.3 percent of national electricity demand; in the United States, it supplies less than 0.1 percent.

The UN’s annual "Global Trends in Sustainable Development" report said that the solar sector attracted 16 percent of the 70 billion U.S. dollars invested in renewable technology in 2006 - behind wind (38 percent) and biofuels (26 percent). According to the World Energy Council, solar water heating market is growing at a rate of around 20 percent a year, and solar PV at 35 percent.

If the costs of solar technology continue to drop, it has a chance to compete with other forms of energy production. In places like sunny California, solar has already reached "grid parity," which means the costs of producing solar power are now competitive with conventional energy production even without government subsidies. Sinking production costs would allow solar power to eventually join or even replace coal, gas, and oil as a primary energy source by the end of the century, which some experts say is possible.

Global Resources and Producers

The amount of solar energy that reaches the Earth’s surface every 20 days exceeds the energy trapped up in all of the planet’s coal, oil, and natural gas reserves. The trick is finding cost-effective and efficient ways of converting this abundant resource into usable energy.

Currently, there are two main ways of doing so. Photovoltaic (PV) panels, thin pieces of crystalline silicon, transfer sunlight directly into electricity. Solar thermal collectors, on the other hand, are used to heat water for domestic or industrial use and to run steam power plants.

Germany is the world’s leading producer of PV and solar heating technology and energy. In 2006 alone, 968 Megawatts (MW) of PV was installed in Germany. Japan, which added 292 MW last year, is also an important market and exporter of PV technology. China is aggressively adding solar systems to its energy mix. The country already consumes half of all solar-heated water in the world, and aims to increase solar water heater coverage by 50 percent by 2010. China is also emerging as an important producer and consumer of PV cells, which the government is integrating in remote and urban area.

Energy Output

The energy output of photovoltaic and solar heating depends on the size location of the system. Most areas receive ample sunlight, but deserts that seldom get cloud cover are better suited for solar energy production.

Standard PV cells have an energy conversion rate of 6 to 8 percent, meaning that 6 to 8 percent of all solar power absorbed is turned into energy. Some prototypes have already achieved conversion rates of more than 40 percent, but are still too expensive for mass-market production. Solar heaters utilize solar collectors that are significantly more efficient. Current collectors turn between 60 to 70 percent of absorbed sunlight into heat.

Concentrated solar thermal systems use mirrors to reflect sunlight onto a tower, producing extremely hot temperatures to boil water or other fluids and produce steam to drive a thermal power plant. An 11 MW concentrating solar power plant was completed near Seville, Spain in March 2007. A 154 MW facility is planned in Australia, and a 500 MW system in California’s Mojave Desert.

Environmental Impact and Drawbacks

Manufacturing and installing solar systems requires energy, and as with almost any industrial activity, involves handling hazardous materials, such as arsenic and cadmium. Mass production of PV cells is sometimes marred by shortages of quality silicon. Large-scale solar power plants also take up lots of land.

Overall, however, the environmental impacts of switching to solar energy are positive. Solar heaters require significantly less fossil energy input than natural gas and electric systems. PV systems are cleaner energy producers compared to coal and oil. Greenhouse gas emissions of solar PV plant including production and installation are eight times less than that of a coal-fired plant.

The initial costs of solar heating and PV systems, however, prevent many homeowners from installing them. But falling costs and subsidies have helped sustain market growth in some countries. Like with wind turbines, another technical problem is effectively storing solar energy to provide power throughout nights and cloudy days.

(ArticlesBase SC #830457)

Lithium Polymer (LiPo) Battery FAQ

Lithium Polymer Batteries is the favorite power source of electric radio-controlled models. They are relatively cheap, light, and hold lots of power. However, many new hobbyists may have some enquiries as to their operations.

Here are three frequently asked questions about them.

1. What is Cell Balancing?

Lithium Polymer batteries usually come packaged as a pack of more than two individual battery cells. For example, electric RC helicopters use 3-cell packs. Each of these battery cells has a nominal voltage of 3.7v; which means that each cell can operate when it maintains its charge between 3.0 to 4.2v. To go above or below or below this range can damage the cell and render it useless, or worse, become dangerously unstable and explode.

While the battery is in usage, the power drawn out of each cell is not equal. Therefore, at the end of each flight, the cells in the battery will be left out of balance. A non-balancing charger will stop charging the battery pack once the voltage of the overall pack is full without paying any attention to each cell. This causes the battery to be more and more unbalanced with each charge and would also result in a diminished performance of the battery pack.

A balance charger eliminates any unbalanced-cells symptoms of a battery pack by charging each cell individually; making sure that the cell's voltage remain balanced at the end of each charge. In essence, balance charger lengthen the life of the battery back and maximizes its performance as well as keep the pack stable and safe to operate.

2. What is C rating?

A lot of radio-control fliers quickly grasp the meaning of most of the battery-associated acronyms but one: the C rating. In fact, many experts have tripped over themselves trying to explain it. However, I've heard a graspable explanation of it from an old Chinese battery manufacturer/expert very recently. Which is: The "C Rating" is the number which you multiply to the capacity of the battery to get its discharge rate.

Still confused? Basically, a 1000 mAh battery rated at 1C will provide 1000 mA of power for 1 hour. On the other hand, if the same pack was rated at 2C, it would provide 2000 mA of power for 30 minutes.

3. How fast can I charge a pack?

Each Lithium Polymer battery pack has a different maximum charge rate. It is very important to never ever charge at a rating above the specified rate! Most batteries have a label that specifies this vital information. However, if the maximum charge rate is not specified, keep in mind that most Lipos are made to be charged at a rate of 1C. Which means a 1000 mAh pack can be charged at 1A and a 500mAh pack can be charged at 0.5A. Once again, never ever exceed the maximum charge rate lest the battery explodes!
(ArticlesBase SC #204098)

Monday, February 15, 2010

Hho Kits - Beat The Gas Pump With Gas4Free, Water4Gas Or Simplewaterfuel

Two words that have ruled the public conversation for the past one or two years are'gas prices.' increasing one or two greenbacks per gallon, rising gas costs have drastically changed the way many Americans live their lives. All of a sudden, every trip or drive or errand becomes a thing to be weighed and considered given the potential expense. Families don't get to go to relatives as much. Many less folks go on vacation or journeys. A visit to the corner store for milk may be more expensive in Gas4Free than the gallon of milk itself. While prices might have dropped lately, they are destined to rise again as gas is in-demand and becomes more and more rare.

despite all this, there is a easy way that most folks can manage to defeat the gas pump and reclaim their liberty to roam. That way is the HHO Kit. HHO kits are revolutionary kits that may be installed on any car. The HHO kit is fueled by a totally free substance : water. The HHO kit converts the water into its gas-base, hydrogen. The hydrogen is sucked into your auto engine. Once inside it mixes with the gasoline to maximize your fuel use. NASA has long used hydrogen to fuel its spaceships and rockets, and now every person can have their own space-age vehicle with an HHO kit.

because it converts water and hydrogen into fuel, a vehicle with an HHO kit installed gets miles better gas mileage than a car without one. In fact, vehicles with HHO kits usually use ten to 50% less gasoline than those without one. This implies that automobile owners with HHO kits spend 10 to 50% less time at the pump and their wallets are 10 to fifty percent bigger than those who don't . A family that spends a hundred greenbacks a month on gas would spend $10 to $50 bucks less a month. A large enough sum to impact that family's monthly activities. Families with HHO kits have more money to spend on holidays, going to restaurants, or just to put in savings.

Even though they provide all these extraordinary benefits, HHO kits are surprisingly affordable. Gas4free, Simplewaterfuel and Water4gas sell high-quality, affordable HHO kits Guides which will have you straight away saving money and free from the chains of the gas pump. These manuals are also highly easy to follow. They require no expensive tools or expertise. It does not take an engineer to install it, just a free afternoon. In reality, installing an HHO kit can be a neat way to spend an afternoon or to bond with a friend of child.

Not only do HHO kits help people save lots of money, they're also very environmentally friendly. Helping vehicle owners to cut back on their gas emissions and gas use is an Earth-friendly way to save money. There might be a limited supply of gasoline on our planet, but there's a lot of water and HHO kits can make even fossil-fuel guzzling cars a bit more green.

With the invention of the HHO kit, there's no reason to feel enslaved by gas costs or confined to your place because you cannot afford gas. With an HHO kit, you are Gas4Free to wander anywhere you wish without the fear of the pump.
(ArticlesBase SC #1822639)

An Introduction to Biofuels

Agriculture - methane, ethanol and biodiesel Introduction

In this chapter we shall discuss the importance of recent developments in agriculture upon the world's energy resources and the impact on the world population and environment. We shall focus mainly on  agriculture producing fuel as this is currently controversial. We will briefly discus the historic link between agriculture and petroleum then we will explore aspects of methane, biodiesel and ethanol production before a brief summary on the strategic importance of a strong agricultural sector.

Link between Agriculture and Petroleum

Since the 1940's agriculture has dramatically increased its productivity. This is due in part to the use of petrochemical derived pesticides and fertilizers and increased mechanization. The vast majority of energy used to produce food in addition to sunlight comes from fossil fuel sources. Because of modern agriculture's heavy reliance on petrochemicals there are signs that decreases in oil supply will inflict damage on the world's modern agricultural system and cause long term food shortages. Oil shortages mean that organic agriculture and sustainable farming are now of more importance than ever. However, the current controversy  is due to the fact that farmers have increasingly been raising crops such as corn for non-food use in an effort to help mitigate peak oil. This is turn has contributed to a 60% rise in wheat prices recently and may cause serious social unrest. Increased interest in food commodities from the world's financial markets has also increased the cost of food worldwide.

Let us look at several main areas of agricultural fuel production. First  methane production.

Methane

Methane is the principal component of natural gas. The relative abundance of methane and its clean burning process makes it a very attractive fuel. Methane is usually now transported in its natural gas form by pipeline or LNG carriers. Methane is very important for electrical generation when burned as a fuel in a gas turbine or steam boiler and compared to other hydrocarbon fuels burning methane produces less carbon dioxide for each unit of heat released. Methane in the form of compressed natural gas can also be used in vehicles and NASA is looking to methane's potential as rocket fuel as it is abundant in many parts of the solar system ! In addition methane has industrial uses, especially in industrial chemical processes and may be transported as refrigerated LNG.

The link between agriculture and methane occurs because apart from gas fields an alternative method of obtaining methane is via biogas generated by the fermentation of organic matter, including manure, wastewater sludge, municipal solid waste or any other biodegradable feedstock under anaerobic conditions. As an aside methane hydrates, which are basically icelike combinations of methane and water on the sea floor  are also a potential future source of methane. Back to agriculture ! Cattle belch methane accounts for 16% of the world's annual methane emissions and the livestock sector in general is responsible for 37% of all human influenced methane production. In fact lets take a look at some of the statistics on anthropogenic methane. This accounts in total for approximately 55% of all methane emissions. Of this 18% is due to our energy use, 7% due to landfills, 19% due to livestock, 4% waste treatment, and 7% biomass burning. We can this see the links between agriculture and methane production but of course so far very little of this is harnessed for fuel.

Ethanol

The fermentation of sugar into ethanol is one of the earliest organic reactions known to humanity. Ethanol is also produced from by-products of petroleum refining but here we are concerned at the links between agriculture and fuel production. The largest single use of ethanol is as a motor fuel and fuel additive. The largest national fuel ethanol industries exist in Brazil. Thanks to advances in engine design today almost half of Brazilian cars are able to use 100% ethanol as fuel via ethanol only engines and flex-fuel engines.. In the US flex-fuel engines can run on 0% to 85% ethanol since higher ethanol blends are not allowed. Brazil produces ethanol from domestically grown sugar cane which has a greater concentration of sucrose than corn but is also easier to extract.

In addition the bagasse generated by the process is not wasted but is used in power plants to produce electricity. In contrast in the USA the fuel ethanol industry is based on corn. According to the Renewable Fuels Association in October 2007 there are 131 grain ethanol bio-refineries in the USA with another 72 under construction. The Energy Policy Act of 2005 required that 4 billion gallons of renewable fuel be used in 2006 and this increases thereafter. However there is a controversy arising concerning this as it is disputed whether ethanol as an automotive fuel made from corn results in a net energy gain or loss. The case is clear in sugar cane ethanol as this produces 8 joules for each joule used to produce it. Sugar cane is therefore a far, far better source of ethanol for fuel. Recent research shows that other crops such as switchgrass are also ore efficient than corn. It is likely that cellulosic crops will displace corn as a main fuel crop in the future. There are in fact many controversial side effects of using corn to produce ethanol. According to one estimate a person could be fed for an entire year on the corn used to fill an ethanol fueled SUV. In fact the use of corm almost certainly increases global warming, destroys forests and inflates fuel prices.

Many environmentalists and livestock farmers are against the use of corn for ethanol production and the work also attracts controversial subsidies. In 2007 the UN's expert on the right to food called for a 5 year moratorium on biofuel production from food crops to prevent a catastrophe for the poor as food prices escalate. The effects of increasing food prices due to the ripple effect of a rise in corm prices have been felt worldwide. A February 2007 Associated Press article stated "The widespread use of ethanol from corn could result in nearly twice the greenhouse gas emissions as the gasoline it would replace because of expected land-use changes". However, it is not all doom and gloom because as we said earlier the case for ethanol from sugar cane has been made so agriculture has a huge contribution to make to fuel production in an efficient manner in fact if we move away from corn.

Biodiesel

 This refers to the non-petroleum based diesel fuel made by transesterification of vegetable oils or animal fats, which can be used alone or blended in unmodified diesel engine vehicles. Biodiesel use and production is increasing rapidly and fueling stations are making biodiesel available across Europe and increasingly in Canada and the USA.  At the moment biodiesel is relatively expensive to purchase but the economies of scale of production and agricultural subsidies versus the rising costs of petroleum may make biodiesel more attractive. Biodiesel production continues to grow rapidly with an average annual growth rate from 2002 to 2006 of over 40% according to Renewables 2007 Global Status Report. For 2006 total world biodiesel production was 5-6 million tonnes with 4.9 million tonnes processed in Europe - mainly in Germany.  It can be seen that agriculture has an enormous role to play in the creation of alternative fuels. A variety of oils can be used to produce biodiesel.

Virgin oil feedstocks such as rapeseed and soybean oils can be used. Soybean is a major feedstock in the US for example. Other feedstocks can include field penny-cress, Jatropha, mustard, flax, sunflower, palm oil, and hemp. Waste vegetable oil (WVO) can also be used as feedstocks. Farms also produce animal fats including tallow, lard and yellow grease. Chicken fats and by-products of the production of Omega 3 fatty acids from fish oil can be used. Another form of farming can also contribute, namely algaculture. Algae which can be grown using waste materials such as sewage can also be used as feedstock.

 However, it should be noted that currently worldwide production of vegetable oil and animal fat is not yet sufficient to replace liquid fossil fuel use. Also there would be objections to the vast amount of farming expansion needed to produce sufficient quantities - especially from relative low yield feedstocks like soybean. Lets take a quick look at the various yields because feedstock yield efficiency per acre affects the feasibility of ramping up agriculture required to power a significant percentage of world vehicles.

Here are some examples of yields quoted in US gallons of biodiesel per acre. Algae 1800 gpa or more, Palm oil 508 gpa, Coconut 230 gpa, Rapeseed 102gpa, Soy 59 gpa, Peanut 90 gpa, Sunflower 82 gpa. The case is being made strongly for algae fuel as according to the DOE algae yield 30 times more energy per acre than land crops such as soybeans. Algae production has another great advantage in that it does use up existing farmland. The Jatropha plant is also cited as being relatively high yield with about 200 gpa. This is grown in the Philippines, Mali and India, is drought resistant and can share space with other crops such as coffee. Overall the efficiency and economic arguments continue. Does it make sense to convert more farmland into feedstocks for  biodiesel production ?

Additional factors need to be taken into consideration such as the fuel equivalent of energy required for processing, the yield of fuel from raw oil, the return on cultivating food, and effects on food prices and the relative cost of biodiesel versus petrodiesel.

A note on energy security

 In reality one of the main drivers for adoption of biodiesel, ethanol and agriculture based methane production is energy security. This means that the country's dependence on oil should be reduced and substituted with locally available sources such as coal, gas or other renewable resources. In effect this means that there are significant benefits for a country quite apart from reduction of greenhouse gasses. It is clear that initiatives in agriculture to produce methane, biodiesel and ethanol do reduce our dependence on oil , even if the total energy balance is controversial in some cases. The diversification of energy sources is a vital security factor and the development of a strong agricultural sector to meet this demand is therefore of long term and short term strategic interest. However, this must be balanced with initiatives in food production especially in the developing world to offset the effects of conversion of arable land to biofuel feedstock production.

 Dr Simon Harding

www.thinkoil.net
www.chronosconsulting.com
(ArticlesBase SC #1565287)

Bmw and Nasa. What's This About?

The time was August 2007. The place is Cape Canaveral Florida.

An historic event took place on this date and time. The problem is that very few people realize that it even happened. And fewer people still understand the importance of this meeting of the minds between NASA engineers and the engineers at BMW.

But one day you will benefit from this union.

As NASA engineers were preparing to launch the Space Shuttle Endeavour, BMW of North America and NASA announced that together they had successfully completed an eight week test for the BMW Hydrogen 7 Luxury Sedan. And because this was the first hydrogen powered luxury sedan, their joint success brought a smile even to the faces of normally non-emotional engineers.

This was like getting s smile out of Mr. Spock on Star Trek. It was that important.

Both BMW and NASA are committed to hydrogen technologies research, innovative transportation systems and alternate energy sources. Fortunately, this program was made possible under a Space Act Agreement between NASA and BMW. I don’t know about you, but for me, I could feel the excitement of our tax dollars at work. Both you and I will someday benefit from this cutting edge research.

In simple terms, this is why BMW and NASA worked together. Because of the high density of liquid hydrogen the space shuttle is propelled at high speeds into space. This same concept is used by BMW to power the BMW Hydrogen 7. So BMW and NASA working together on this project was a perfect match. Also, this project is BMW’s way of showing that hydrogen drive vehicles are a viable option for your future and mine.

This test project was a huge success for BMW.

Not only did this prove that BMW could make a dual combustion engine that can switch from gasoline to liquid hydrogen seamlessly, but also as a far reaching model vehicle for the future. But the major drawback right now is that there are very few places where a driver can stop and fuel up on liquid hydrogen. But that isn’t going to stop BMW from pushing ahead with development of the Hydrogen 7.

So what’s the answer to all driver’s question, “Where do I get the liquid hydrogen?”

Another goal of this joint project was to make the public more aware of the great possibilities offered by a hydrogen driven car. And just as importantly, BMW is helping to stimulate the demand for a workable hydrogen infrastructure---that is---building hydrogen filling stations for your car and mine. This will one day make hydrogen for cars readily available and affordable.

For those of you looking just for the “specs” of the BMW Hydrogen 7, here is a little taste just to keep you going until you can get your hands on one at your local dealership. It’s being developed from the BMW 760Li , 260 horsepower V12 cylinder engine. Top speed for this baby is 143 mph as it quietly accelerates from 0 to 60 in 9.2 seconds.

One hundred of the Hydrogen 7 models have been build and are being tested in various markets around the world. In fact, the cars have already completed over 1.3 million miles during this testing phase.

Don’t expect to see Captain James T. Kirk from the Starship Enterprise driving one of these any time soon in your neighborhood. But, it sure would be a great promo for BMW and NASA.

Don’t you agree?

Chet Waters is the BMW Specialist. Learn How To Find Your BMW And At The Price You Can Afford. Go To:

http://www.bmwsauctions.com


(ArticlesBase SC #395334)

Can We Really Use Water for Gas?

Water is made from the combination of hydrogen and oxygen and while hydrogen does not produce energy, it carries energy. Much energy is required to get hydrogen from water. Hydrogen has in the past been utilized as a source of compact energy in batteries and fuel cells. Currently, many companies are trying to develop technologies that can exploit the potential that is in hydrogen energy. Many people have been discussing about the power that is in hydrogen. Already, many motorists in the world have discovered that water can be added into the gas and they still travel safely to their destination. This use of water as gas means that hydrogen will be provided only when it is demanded and thus there will be no need of having storage tanks. The environment will not be damaged and the passengers will be a hundred percent safe.

In the using of water as gas, there will be no need to build and place a new engine or try to convert a car so that it can run on water, but can do it on his or her vehicle acquiring the simple items needed for the process from stores. Many people who have used gas for water have claimed that there has been an increased gas mileage by between fifty and three hundred percent. This idea of the water4 Gas has been used in many parts of the world. Since no one can claim to own this technology, it is free to any user.

Water4Gas is a term that has been used by experimenters who want to clarify whether supplemental hydrogen can be effective in reducing gas emissions and whether it is possible for the hydrogen from water to be used in saving fuel. Thirdly, they want to establish whether the use of hydrogen from water can be utilized in the modern vehicles and finally whether this hydrogen reduces emissions as well as fuel consumption in big tracks with heavy loads as they move uphill. From the publications that have been made, it is clear that supplemental hydrogen from water improving the fuel economy as well as reducing emissions is not a new discovery, with many people in the world building their own systems which they have learned from the manuals.

The technology of using water as fuel is very simple with water being split into small particles of oxygen (in this case Brown’s gas or HHO) and hydrogen and the gases then directed into the engine. Hydrogen being added into fuel has been researched by US Department of Transportation, NASA, US Patent office as well as engineers and all concluded that there is an increase in the efficiency of the engine as well as the reduction of emissions that are harmful. In this development, BMW has already announced that it has started the production of BMW Hydrogen 7 which would be the first luxury car that is powered by hydrogen. This car will be powered by 260hp 12-cylinder engine, and accelerates to 62 mph from zero in a span of 9.5 seconds.

(ArticlesBase SC #1049865)

Hydrogen as Fuel

Hydrogen is a gas that is industrially produced from a number of sources but the most common is methane or other fossil fuels. Hydrogen is made up of atoms that include one proton in each of them. Stars are made primarily of hydrogen. The sun is the giant ball that includes hydrogen and helium gases. In the sun’s core the hydrogen atoms combine and thereby form helium atoms that give off radiant energy. This process is known as fusion. This energy is what sustains the life on the earth as well as giving us light and keeps our planet alive. Hydrogen is able to rise in the air since it is lighter than air and that is the main reason why it can not be found on earth and can only be found in compound form with other various elements.

Hydrogen can be combined with oxygen to give water and when combined with carbon it will give out compounds such as coal, methane, as well as petroleum. Hydrogen can be used to power a number of things including vehicles. Hydrogen vehicles use hydrogen as their on board fuel for motive power. The power plants of these vehicles convert the chemical energy of hydrogen to mechanical energy either by combustion or electrochemical conversion in a fuel cell. It is estimated that there are about five hundred vehicles that are hydrogen fuelled with up to sixty hydrogen refueling stations in the United States mostly in California.

Hydrogen can also be an energy carrier where it moves energy in a usable form from one place to another just like electricity works. Hydrogen is not mostly used as an energy carrier at the moment but it has a great potential in the future of doing so. Hydrogen is mostly a by product of other chemical processes. A good difference between hydrogen and electricity is that large quantities of hydrogen can be stored to be used in the future. Hydrogen can also be used in places where electricity can not be used.

Hydrogen is mostly used by industries in refining, processing foods, as well as treating metals. In the United States about nine million metric tons of hydrogen is produces mostly in just three states namely California, Texas and Louisiana. This power is enough to be used in close to eight million homes or power up to thirty million cars. NASA is known as the primary user of hydrogen as an energy fuel and it uses it in the space program. Hydrogen fuel batteries are also able to make electricity which makes them very efficient although expensive to build.

The small fuel batteries are able to power electric vehicles. The large fuel batteries are able to provide electricity in places where there are no power lines. Some places known to have fuel batteries as a source of emergency power especially in hospitals and locations that are in the wilderness. There are also portable fuel cells that are currently being sold in some places to provide longer power to cell phones batteries, laptop computer battery as well as military applications.

(ArticlesBase SC #1301567)

Hypersonic and Supersonic Aviation in 2057 (nasa Award Winning Article)

AEROAGE

En route on the mach 4.7 supersonic jet, I flipped open my iTV , which connected me to the most advanced space network, spacecast. The usual news was being broadcast; “NASCOM, the space people have started mining a new mineral on the moon which is almost identical to Uranium; the Americans have come out with yet another version of the unmanned X-67 which maneuvers itself at mach 25 (courtesy nuclear fusion engines!); the international space station at Mars has discovered a revolutionary microorganism that can be used to fight multiple cancer, a predominant disease on Earth”. Yes, this is the age I’m living in, and when I look back in time at the history of aviation, it leaves me flabbergasted. The history of AVIATION commenced in the 20th century, and a few lucky people who were witness to the first tentative flight of the Wright Brothers, managed to live through these 150 years (through medical advancement of course!) to witness the hypersonic X-67s as well. As Robert Wall once rightly said (towards the end of the 20th century), “So rapid has been the development of aeronautical science that no one can say with safety that an end has been reached or that there is any limit to the ability of man to develop flight at the same pace in the next century.”1

Today, in 2057, man has traveled a long way in the field of civil and space aviation. Advancements that were merely probable 5 decades ago are possible and practical today. All these developments are a consequence of decades of stupendous achievements in space exploration. Half a century ago, landing human astronauts on Mars was within the bounds of possibility. However, today, successful implementation of hypersonic space travel and use of geodesic domes have not only enabled man to experience the surface of Mars, but have also helped him estabilish cyborg colonies there. In addition to the Moon, even Mars is available now, for scientific exploration! The international space station on Mars, in addition to helping scientists in their research work, has facilitated in mitigating the power crisis, which at present is history! After the establishment of The International Lunar Base Station in 2037, man has passed several milestones in setting up a long term colony on the moon. Today, the hotels on the moon go full with increasing number of world, or rather space, citizens going on lunar holidays! A fleet of spaceships taking space tourists high above the atmosphere is now a routine affair. These spaceships are improved versions of Spaceshiptwo, which took Santosh George of India along with other space tourists to as high as 55000 feet, enabling them to experience the excitement of weightlessness and the thunderous deceleration of aerodynamic drag on reentry, in 20072. In addition, disputes between industries, over the acquisition of lunar land for mining have become fairly common.

At the start of the 21st century, the failure of NASA’s Mars lander caused despondency over the failure of its apparently reliable technology and put a question mark over other similar systems3. However, perennial human effort and incessant advancement in hypersonic space travel have led to the innovation of extraordinarily efficient probes which are now meeting the challenge of unearthing secrets about the solar system’s remotest planets. For example: a recent probe that has been sent to Pluto weighs only 570 pounds and stands almost 10 feet tall and 27 feet wide. It is composed of 19 solar panels, an extremely light nano-fission engine, and is controlled by an onboard computer.
The probe functions by harnessing the light energy of the Sun. At present the fission engines are taking it close to the Sun. Once it is sufficiently close, the fission engines would shut down and light energy from the Sun would push the probe towards Pluto with a tremendous amount of force. The probe would then constantly accelerate and reach hypersonic speeds enabling scientists to have a glimpse of the details of Pluto within their lifetimes!

The innovation of the controlled nuclear fusion engine, after the ion and fission engines, in 2031, was by far the most significant advancement in space travel. It enabled spacecraft to reach astonishing speeds. Many decades ago, scientists deciphered that scarce and expensive raw materials exist in abundance on asteroids in our solar system. Today, aeronautical geeks have succeeded in designing manned aircraft, run by fusion engines that travel at supersonic speeds to these asteroids. They are slowed down, when close to the asteroid’s surface and then are made to land by making use of the asteroid’s relatively low gravity. During this rendezvous, with a suitable asteroid, the spacecraft uses abundant solar energy to extract and refine metals like gold and platinum and then the fusion engines power them back to Earth.4

In order to aid space travel and further exploit the hypersonic travel technology, a set of 5 astronomical telescopes, linked by laser, 100 times more powerful than the antiquated Hubble Space Telescope of the 20th century, was deployed in space in 20255 with the aid of space stations and hypersonic jets. Through these telescopes, we have been able to probe deeper into the universe and directly study details of planets in the Milky Way, without having to study the wobbling of stars.

This was just a glimpse of the hypersonic space travel in my age! Now, let’s delve into the advancement of supersonic and hypersonic travel in civil aviation. Civil aviation is governed by practicality and affordability. And when supersonic travel is looked at with these factors in mind, its picture seems somewhat blurred. Although, supersonic and hypersonic travel is easily available for civil aviation, its use is restricted only to the elite class. Four decades ago, hypersonic travel could take you anywhere on the planet in 4 hours6. Today, it can take you in just 2 hours! If the world population is transported from one corner of the globe to the other, then, oh my! The gas guzzling machines and sonic booms, created close to the earth’s surface, would simply attract the ire of environmentalists! Although this is the era of supersonic air travel, there also exists an alternative economic means of transport. No economy can ignore such basic realities. Even today we need economically viable means for mass transportation. So, where speed is not essential, the principles of freight transportation have been applied to mass travel. Non-inflammable gases are used to lift huge airships propelled by turbines7. This technology has made air travel extremely cheap, resulting in a five fold increase in air traffic compared to that of 2007. Although technology is reaching new heights every day, socialism continues to be a speed breaker!

In addition to supersonic and hypersonic aircraft being used in civil aviation, air taxis with tilt rotors have also come into daily use. Not needing a runway, these taxis can easily maneuver around the city. They help me land right in the center of a supermarket! In addition to the tilt rotors, which give them the vertical lift, they also make use of the ground effect that reduces the drag experienced by aircrafts8. This, thus, reduces the fuel consumption of the taxis. Bad news for environmentalists; they have one less topic to debate upon!

As far as the armed forces go, there is no stopping them! Billions were and are being spent to develop aircraft that are capable of traveling at such hypersonic speeds that they escape even the most efficient of all radars owned by their enemies. With the introduction of hypersonic travel, came the highly sensitive infrared radars that were capable of detecting the infrared radiation produced by the engines of these aircraft9.

Technology has constantly moved towards super automation. Way back in 2003, Arlen Rens’, a Lockheed Martin test pilot, describing automation in aviation, said humorously: “Airplanes are now built to carry a pilot and a dog in the cockpit. The pilot’s job is to feed the dog, and the dog’s job is to bite the pilot if he touches anything!”10

Now, the question arises; how did we reach this pinnacle? How did we overcome all the inevitable challenges?

The main challenges were:

a) Financial: the sums invested to develop this technology dwarfed those involved in making possible the Apollo missions to the Moon!

b) Biological: traversing long distances in space meant spending years in space in zero gravity conditions. The human body cannot adapt to stresses greater than 9g and react to situations as fast as machines. The human mind is incapable of making 1 million inferences per second unlike machines!

c) Technological: reaching high levels of automation required integrating man and machine, and the functioning of diverse systems in perfect synchronization over longer distances and timescales with a minimum of maintenance.11

d) Environmental and Ecological: sonic booms produced by supersonic and hypersonic aircrafts were a great threat to mankind, and wildlife12. Even if man could somehow artificially adapt his hearing sensibilities to sonic booms, he could possibly not dissuade animal activists from protesting against hypersonic travel. Apart from this, supersonic airlines of that age utilized gas guzzling engines, dependant upon dwindling petroleum supplies.

It has truly been a daunting task for man to find an answer to everything through technology. It is spellbinding to know how he prevented technology from reaching a standstill, without betting on speed at the cost of mankind.

It was observed rightly by Thomas Friedman, in 2006, that “the world is getting flat”. Outsourcing and around sourcing were the key to mutual cooperation, advancement, and ameliorating financial crises13 that would have otherwise brought about a pause in aviation technology. The cornerstones of cooperation, laid in the beginning of the 21st century, led to countries coming together to develop hypersonic and supersonic air travel. This has led us all to live in a more cooperative, rather than a competitive world. It was international cooperation that brought about the success of all the space projects since then and led to the establishment of international space stations.

The limiting reagent, in moving further down into space at hypersonic speeds, is the homo sapien! Although such speeds make one experience the tumbling alchemy of Earth and sky, the audacity, and miracle of flight, flying at stresses above 9g, in the Earth’s atmosphere, causes human blood to drain down from the brain, thus, extinguishing vision or even consciousness. In the old gravity suit, pilots would strain against their glottis. This would shut breathing. In the new suits, the pilots are able to flex their body muscles with less force, thus, reducing fatigue. This has been made possible by using “fluid muscles”, as they are called, which are independent of hoses and pressurized air on board, and reacts immediately to high g’s. Besides this, suits have designed in such a way, that pilots can communicate with each other even while traveling at such hypersonic speeds14.

As far as space travel is concerned, man’s shortcomings, both mental and physical, have been overcome by integrating him with machines. As Alwin Toffler predicted about 8 decades ago, the astronaut has become “an integral part of an ongoing micro-ecological process whirling through the vastnesses of space”15. What Theodore Gordon once said has come true. We have found that it would indeed be simpler “to provide life support in the form of machines that plug into the astronaut”. In accordance with his vision, an astronaut is “fed intravenously using a liquid food compactly stored in remote pressurized tank”. And “direct processing of body liquid wastes and conversion to water (is) accomplished by a new type of artificial kidney built in as part of the spaceship”16. Five decades ago, Professor Kevin Warwick, was able to connect his nervous system to his wife’s nervous system through a computer. Looking at that development, it is not hard to believe that today the human brain is directly connected to the computer, controlling his spacecraft. Thus, his mind is able to run as fast as a computer and in turn the computer gets a brain to think. Thus, what can be seen is that, the astronaut is no longer a separate entity monitoring the aircraft; he is in fact a part of the whole process.

If one divides human existence into three phases, then I would say that the first phase extends from the birth of humans till the year 1920. The second phase covers the time from 1921 to 2000 and we are at present in the third phase. This can be clearly explained by seeing the advancements that took place during these three phases. During the third phase mankind has moved so fast that from Earthlings we have started becoming Marslings! The technology that made all this probability a possibility would make a 20th century dweller dumbstruck! What humans did was that they teraformed Mars and tailored it to their requirements. The first thing that was required was to heat up the exceedingly cold atmosphere. The toxic pollution on Earth served as a medicine for Mars. Pollution creating machines were dropped on Mars whose work was to suck up a mixture of dust and atmosphere and process them into greenhouse chemicals. These chemicals trapped the heat radiated by the Sun and heated the surface and atmosphere of Mars. Once Mars was warm enough, plants and trees were grown in geodesic domes, which in turn increased the oxygen content of the atmosphere, making human existence possible17. This led to the establishment of an Earth colony on Mars which in turn gave birth to the Mars space station. The future now, is thus, to further the use of this technology and make the whole of Mars a human colony.

The technology developed for scramjets to attain hypersonic speeds, brought out a solution to the fossil fuel crises. Decades ago, rocket engines used hydrogen as well as liquid oxygen. The weight marred their performance and efficiency. A scramjet carries only hydrogen and uses oxygen from the atmosphere instead. Thus, it turns out to be lighter and more efficient18. Moreover, it also proves to be environment friendly. Mark Lewis of the University of Maryland had once said, “Flying an air-breathing rocket system above Mach5; that’s sort of the gleam in everyone’s eye”19. And yes, today we are all witness to the result of that vision. Scramjets have made hypersonic travel in the civil sector possible and to an extent, environment friendly as well. They fly at hypersonic speeds only high above the Earth and thus avoid the ill-effects of a sonic boom, protecting animals as well as mankind. In addition to the scramjets, the ion, nuclear fission, and nuclear fusion engines are also an answer to the dwindling fossil fuel resources, since they efficiently use materials that are available in abundance on the Earth, Moon, and Mars. Besides this, scientists, with the aid of nanotechnology, are trying to devise methods to manipulate abundantly available elements at the atomic level and give them fossil fuel properties.

The problem of inventing a lightweight material that can endure the prolonged high temperatures of the flight engines, plus the heat of the air friction against the wings20, was taken care of by nanotechnology. By manipulating materials at the nanoscale, scientists were able to develop in 2020 a nano-aerogel from carbon which has excellent thermal properties. This material is used to insulate hypersonic aircrafts, which in turn are made up of sheets of carbon nanotubes and nanofibres that are 60 times tougher than steel and much lighter than graphite.

For all the above advancements to take place a perennial desire to achieve something better was required. In the words of a Pelican program manager, Blaine Rawdon: “From our perspective, anything that’s already flying is history.”21

From the very beginning of space exploration, most people have always thought it to be an extravagant luxury, affordable only by the superpowers, and only justifiable by them at times when questions of global prestige, between the competing systems of capitalism and communalism, were involved22. However, it has been practically shown that on an average, every dollar spent on the space program and/or aviation industry, results in 7 dollars paid back to the economy23. A list of spin-offs from space technology can be as varied as it is long.

The most significant of all spin offs was the result of the need for smaller and more powerful computers, which provided an incentive for the development of microchips. Development of rescue blankets, CCD chip technology, virtual reality systems, advanced keyboards, etc. are all a consequence of space technology. If these things seem vague to some people, they would be astonished to know how space technology has extended its wings to everyday articles like wheelchairs, school buses, batteries, television screens, home security systems, medicines, etc24. Besides this, the modern designs of hypersonic aircraft are the result of research carried out for spacecraft designs over the years. Thus, in some way or the other, we all owe our modern comforts to space technology.

Our forefather’s of the 1960s knew that they were witnessing some of space exploration’s “game changing events”25! With our present and near future focussed on Mars, our children may experience the same extraordinary odysseys. Today, we are on Mars and the Moon; tomorrow we might be on one of Jupiter’s moons or even farther. The speed of sound has long been surpassed, and now man’s mission is to approach the speed of light! This may seem like an impossible dream but we must remember that powered flight were seemed impossible when the Wright Brothers set out with their bamboo and canvas contraption to the sand dunes of Kitty Hawk almost one and a half century ago!

Read more at http://www.nanojini.com

Notes

1 Robert Wall, A History of Airliners (Burlington Books: London 1980, rpt 1989) p 238.

2 Hindustan Times, New Delhi, March 15, 2007, p 1. “the Richard-Branson owned Virgin Galactic company that hopes to begin a new era in tourism in less than two years.

Apart from George, two US-based Indian Americans have also signed up for the two-hour flight, Louela Faria-Jones of Virgin Galactic told Hindustan Times from London. SpaceShipOne, a prototype of the space vehicle, flew to space three times in 2004, she said. George will fly on board the SpaceShipTwo, which has large windows, reclining seats, cabins the size of a Falcon 900 executive jet and wings approximately the size of a Boeing 757. It will carry six passengers and two pilots, Faria Jones said.

3 David Owen, Into Outer Space (Burlington Books: London 2000) p 135

4 Ibid, p138

5 Space: Episodes 3 and 4, VCD, B.B.C., 2001

6 Michael Klesius, “Wings of Change”, National Geographic (National Geographic Society: Washington DC, December 2003), p 32

7 Wall, A History of Airliners, p 251

8 Klesius, “Wings of Change”, National Geographic December 2003, p 25, 29

9 My own assessment

10 Klesius, “Wings of Change”, National Geographic December 2003, p 13

11 Owen, Into Outer Space, p 137

12 Wall, A History of Airliners, p 238

13 Thomas L. Friedman, The World is Flat (Penguin Books: London, 2005)

14 Klesius, “Wings of Change”, National Geographic December 2003, p 20,21

15 Alvin Toffler, Future Shock (Pan Books: London, 1971) p 196

16 Ibid, p 196

17 Space: Episodes 5 and 6, VCD, B.B.C., 2001

18 Klesius, “Wings of Change”, National Geographic December 2003, p 32

19 Ibid, p 32

20 Ibid, p 32

21 Ibid, p 29

22 Owen, Into Outer Space, p 128

23 Ibid, p 128

24 Ibid, p 129

25 Jeffrey Kluger, “Nasa’s Plan for a Lunar Comeback Gets a Big Boost”, Time (Time Asia: Hong Kong, March 19, 2007), p 36.

http://www.nanojini.com
(ArticlesBase SC #403275)

Saturday, February 6, 2010

Russia Tells Ukraine Stop Black Sea Oil Drilling

Russia's foreign ministry demanded last week Ukraine to halt the oil exploration in parts of the Black Sea because of a territorial dispute, Russian news agencies reported.

The activities of Ukrainian energy companies "are of an illegal nature and must be halted," Itar-Tass news agency quoted the ministry as saying.

"The areas in question are the subject of a negotiations process between the Russian Federation and Ukraine on the demarcation of the continental shelf and exclusive economic zones in the Black Sea," it said.


The foreign ministry statement did not say if the Russian objections applied to U.S. firm Vanco Energy, which has been granted a contract by Ukraine to develop an area of just under 30,000 square km at the northern end of the Black Sea.

Vanco Energy has said it would spend as much as $3 billion on the project, starting with a $190 million investment in the first three years.

Moscow and Kiev are in dispute over territorial waters around the Kerch Strait, a waterway at the northern end of the Black Sea which separates Ukraine's Crimea Peninsula from the coast of southern Russia.

Political ties between Moscow and Kiev are strained because of Russian opposition to Ukraine's NATO membership bid and disputes over the price at which Russia sells gas to its ex-Soviet neighbor. – Reuters

(ArticlesBase SC #449895)

Betting on Crude Oil to Fall

The continued weakness in the Oil markets is playing havoc across the commodity exporting nations. Russia’s recent emergency measures have confirmed the problems.

With memories of Russia’s effective wiping out of state debt back in 1998 very much to the fore, the chances of anyone coming to their aid is slim. The same can be said for Venezuela, Argentina, Iran etc.

Crude Oil is now pushing to a two year low and, if anything, the outlook looks ever more painful.

Not only this but Airlines and others who hedged their fuel costs earlier this year at $100, $120 per barrel or even higher will now be asked for cash margin on these forward purchased contracts. In the current poor economic situation who would lend to an airline to make a margin call? This could lead to enforced liquidation, if indeed this has not already happened to some. That may well drive the markets much lower. This is not a prospect that leads to a happy prognosis on individual state security.

BA has managed to confound analysts by reporting much higher Turnover than expected but in the same breathe reported a loss of £49m. A £65m profit was expected. Obviously the higher fuel costs were not being offset by the BA surcharges. With Crude Oil now down at around $50 (I would recommend a bit of hedging at these levels) the cut in costs is running against the fall in current passenger numbers. Octobers passenger numbers were down 4.4% on last year. Not exactly surprising. Nevertheless the reported loss can truly be said to be a sign of the past rather than any indication at all of the future. BA is likely to be a last-man-standing airline so selling out at this stage would not appear to be on the cards.

Many complained that the high oil prices were due to speculators pushing the price up. I wonder if those same commentators will cheer the speculators who are supposedly spread betting on crude oil to fall in price.

FinancialSpreads.com and paddypowertrader have both reported a surge in clients selling oil. The latter has confirmed a 25% increase in the number of accounts shorting crude (betting on oil to go down).

Crude prices have slumped more than 60% in value since hitting record highs of $147 per barrel in July 2008. They are now at their lowest levels since January 2007.

So whilst Russia et al may be experiencing problems, individual investors seem to be on the side of the consumer and driving down the price of oil.

So far OPEC has failed to control the market and the speculators have been winning.

If Russia continues to experience financial difficulties they may have little choice but to continue producing at the same rates and OPEC will have more problems controlling the price.

Is it time to join the speculators or just enjoy cheaper petrol?

NB. Financial spread betting carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all classes of investor. Only trade with money that you can afford to lose. Make sure you fully understand the risks involved. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.

(ArticlesBase SC #650028)

RUSSIA IS NOT ABLE TO PLAY A SIGNIFICANT PART IN IRANIAN GAS TRANSIT TO EUROPE

"Russia has been cooperating with Iran and discussed various schemes for a long time, so this is not a novelty. Earlier Iran offered its territory for swap operations. Under this project, Russian oil should have been supplied to Northern Iranian regions, and Iranian oil to world markets via Gulf of Oman on netting basis. But, these schemes turned out to be inefficient due to a mass of financial, technical and political problems ", - informs the expert.

"In recent years, Iran has made a lot of promises to Russia, but Teheran implies the tactic of promises instead of real contracts and agreements to assure Russian support in nuclear issue. In this respect, extremely specific situation arose around negotiations with “Gazprom”, purchase contract Cy-204, etc. However, in recent months Russia has intensified its activity due to the gas crisis. The thing is that due to this crisis, the offers of gas supplies to Europe, that earlier were promoted by Iran actively and that were eagerly observed in Europe, have gained the most powerful impulse. Europeans strive to improve their relations with Iran. Recently, Gerhard Schröderand Bulgarian Foreign Minister have visited this country unofficially but with a clear purpose. Iran led negotiations with a number of other “players”, including corporate ones, as Total and Eon", - noted Danilin.

"Meanwhile the infrastructure for gas supplies around Russia through Turkey and Balkans has already been created in Iran, and it doesn’t require large investments. In this respect, starting from February Moscow has been trying to establish a dialogue with Iran to participate in this process, at least somehow. Last month, one of the Foreign Affairs Ministry representatives stated that NABUCCO is impossible without Iran and suggested to persuade Iran to participate in this project with a hint of irony. But his statement made clear that Russia is trying to improve mutual understanding with Teheran to join somehow Persian gas pipeline, or to agree with Iran for example to participate in the development of fields for European consumers. It’s evident, current negotiations are the continuation of the same line ", - considers the politologist.

"But at the moment the second tactic is being implied. It doesn’t abandon the first one, as it’s evident, that Iran can’t refuse of its own ways of gas supplies to the EU. But now Russia intends to establish Iranian gas transit to Europe through its own territory in order to prevent alternative (non-Russian) gas supplies to Europe around Russia and to gain control over this process at least as a transit state. However, the power of this strategy of the Kremlin is very limited ", - states Danilin.

"Iran is aware that within the terms of already created infrastructure it is able to transport to Europe about 30 billion cubic meters a year, and 40 in prospect. Teheran will hardly agree on compromises, unless Moscow makes significant concessions, which will also hardly influence the situation greatly.

Gas supplies to the EU are considered by Iran as an extremely important strategic objective. For example, this will raise the energy significance of Iran before Europe and this is able to influence the EU position on Iranian nuclear issue. Thus, the potential of negotiations that are currently led by Russia is not that great. At best Russia can count on that some time in future a limited quantity of Iranian gas (5-10 billion cubic meters) will be transported through Russian pipeline networks. But this scenario is also of low probability. This way of supplies is much longer than through Turkey, and it’s less economically effective ", - concluded IvanDanilin.
Let us remind, according to Iranian Mass Media the Energy Minister of Russia Sergey Shmatko presented a number of offers to Iranian Government. Shmatko in particular suggested Iran to sell a part its oil in Saint-Petersburg Commodity Exchange. He also expressed the intention of Russia to cooperate with IRI in the sphere of Iranian gas export to Europe.

Get more information

(ArticlesBase SC #855867)

The Big, Bloody Business of Big, Bloody Oil

“Mark my words.  It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama, like they did John Kennedy.  The world is looking.  We’re about to elect a brilliant 47 year old senator president of the United States of America.  Remember I said it standing here, if you don’t remember anything else I said.  Watch, we’re gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy.”
Joe Biden, October 2008, at a Seattle fundraiser.

During his speech at the now famous Seattle fundraiser, Mr. Biden named the Middle East and Russia as the possible (likely) generators of the crisis.  As his words became widespread, he received lots of criticism from his fellow democrats, who warned him that by saying those things in public he was jeopardizing Senator’s Obama’s chances at the Presidency.  Mr. Biden’s comments were the target of jokes from late night comedians, and parodied in a skit on Saturday Night Life.  What most people seemed to forget, or wanted to forget, was that Mr. Biden‘s words were the result of his many years of experience in international affairs.  As a seasoned politician, he could foresee the results of this election.  He knew we would have a generated crisis, and he knew it would generate in the Middle East or Russia.

Mr. Biden was accurate in predicting which countries would generate the crisis, but he could have been even more specific:  The crisis would be generated by the oil producers, the only beneficiaries of all the geopolitical turmoil around the world.  It makes no difference whether it’s the Middle East, Russia or Venezuela.  They all act together in unison as one bloc, with one objective in mind: to keep the price of oil high.

Fast forward to the end of December 2008, and Mr. Biden‘s prescient words came to pass.  Now, at the beginning of January 2009, the crisis generated by the oil producers is in full swing.  Russia, the Middle East and Venezuela are having a field day, rubbing their hands in glee at the results.  They finally managed to reverse the steep drop in the price of oil that started in July 2008.  At that time, oil reached an all-time high of around US$150.00 a barrel, enriching the coffers of the oil producing nations and wrecking the rest of the world’s economies.  Since then, the price of oil dropped to below US$40.00 a barrel.  That meant both a respite for the rest of the world, and a serious problem for the oil producers, who need oil to be priced above US$80.00 a barrel.  Anything lower than that and they cannot sustain their dictatorships.  OPEC scheduled emergency meetings to prop the price of oil.  First, they tried cutting down production.  That didn’t help much this time, because high priced oil already caused the deepest recession around the world since the Great Depression.  The world had curtailed their use of oil and the cuts in production were barely felt.  Another emergency meeting, another production cut.  The price of oil kept going down.  By then, it was obvious that no amount of production cuts would raise the price of oil.  They had to resort to the one tried and true marketing/public relations device that never fails in raising the price of oil.

Terrorism.

First, they attacked India.  As the sole terrorist survivor of the Mumbai massacres revealed, the original planned date for the attacks was September 27.  That was changed to November 27, after the US election.  A major terror attack like the one in Mumbai coming a month before the Presidential election would have had an impact on the result, and not the oil producers’ desired impact.

Oil did go up slightly, but that was only the beginning.  Attacks in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iraq went barely noticed.  The continuous barrage of rockets from Gaza targeting the civilian population of Israel hardly made the news.  However, that was were they concentrated their attacks.  Creating geopolitical turmoil increases the price of oil, and attacking Israel is what delivers the most bang for their buck.  Always.  Iran contacts its proxies Hamas and Hezbollah, green lights the attacks, and waits for the oil profits to roll in.  It’s a cost efficient method, too.  The UN and the WITOTs (Willing Idiots Targets Of Terror) condemn Israel, give money and aid to Iran’s proxies, and conveniently forget why the geological turmoil was generated in the first place and by whom.

To condemn Israel for defending its civilian population from terror attacks is the political equivalent of condemning a rape victim to death because she had sex outside the marriage.

Had the oil producers not attacked Israel, today oil would be below US$20.00 a barrel.  US$20.00 a barrel is not a comfortable price for Russia, Iran and Venezuela, the generators of the current crisis.  At US$20.00 a barrel, their economies crumble like dust in the wind.

Hamas and Hezbollah are called “proxies” of Iran.  However, because terrorism is about oil business, and to attack Israel was a business decision, it’s more accurate to call them “subcontractors“.

Joe Biden knew we would have a generated international crisis, and knew where it would come from.  Looking at the correlation of the price of oil and terror attacks,  we can all notice a pattern repeating itself.  What comes next after attacking Israel, and getting the UN, WITOTs and oil producers to condemn Israel‘s response, is a major terror attack somewhere in the world.  Somewhere where they can use extreme cruelty against defenseless people, and claim they did it because they were “angry” at Israel.

Watch the price of oil skyrocket. 

I’m concerned this major terror attack is imminent upon us.  It’s part of the script, scheduled after attacking Israel.
US$80.00 a barrel, here it comes.
All in the name of oil.
Never ever let anybody convince you that terrorism is about something other than raising the price of oil.
It’s not.
(ArticlesBase SC #718592)

Russia Attracting More Western Companies

Where's Russia headed? One good place to get an answer was the just-concluded St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, which followed the strained G-8 meeting in Germany. According to Russian Economics Minister German Gref, upwards of 10,000 people from over 60 countries participated in the Forum, which this year was also done in partnership with the World Economic Forum -- otherwise known as Davos.

I attended the forum and chaired the session on energy. I have subsequently been asked to answer some significant questions.

What is the outlook for the Russian economy? What is the investment environment like currently?

The political tensions, suspicion, and tough rhetoric between Russia and the United States and other members of the G-8 that were so apparent prior to that summit were mostly marked by their absence at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum. The commodities mainly evident in these very warm days and long white nights were optimism and confidence.

With just nine months to go until the Russian presidential election, this presumably last Forum for St. Petersburg-native Vladimir Putin underlined the growth story in Russia under his presidency. Since he took over at the tail end of an economic crisis in 2000, the size of the Russian economy has quintupled. It's the tenth largest economy in the world, and some are estimating that it will be the fifth by 2020 or before. It also has the third largest financial reserves of any country.

On the other side, worries center on the extent of vulnerability to lower energy prices, volatility in the Russian stock market, uncertainty from domestic politics during an election season, and what some say is the stalling of needed reforms.

How is Western business looking at the Russian economy?

There was a strong sense among Western and specifically American companies of not wanting to be left out. After all, the Russian economy is now bigger than Brazil's or India's. As one American put it when we were talking after a session, "For many years, the 'R' seemed to be missing from BRIC. No longer.

Now American companies are scrambling to put their Russia strategy together. They may still worry about the risks, but the opportunity is so much bigger." A number are already there, of course, ranging from Boeing to Procter and Gamble.

Rising income is particularly what the business community is seeing. It's estimated that 25 to 30 percent of the population is now at least in the "consumer class," if not necessarily "middle class."

That's a lot of spending power and a lot of new demand. Last year, it was said, a million cars were sold in India -- and two million in Russia. This optimism is certainly very different from what one encounters in more political circles.

You were the chair of a panel on energy at the conference. Do you anticipate more western involvement in Russia's oil industry or less?

The Putin Administration continues to be intent on revising to one degree or another the oil and gas deals that were done in the middle 1990s. The actual rewriting varies from one deal to the next. So you don't see the same kind of enthusiasm in energy that is evident in other sectors.

There's a lot of uncertainty, frustration, and pessimism about policy, decision-making and about the role of foreign capital in the energy sector. Also, exploration and development costs have been rising substantially in Russia, as elsewhere, but, at least in the mature region of West Siberia, this goes unrecognized by the very high tax rate.. Yet the resource potential is so great that the major companies can't easily stand aside.

There are two critical things that they are waiting for, both of which are promised by the end of the year. One is the definition of "strategic sectors" and how those sectors will be managed -- in which oil and gas are at the top of the list.

The other are the "rules of the road" for exploration and development in the off-shore and Artic, which will be high cost, challenging technically, but are very high potential.

What is the outlook for Russian oil and gas production? Are there any big changes underway?

For most of this decade, it was the dramatic growth in Russian oil production that, on a net global basis, balanced out the rapid growth in Chinese oil demand. Today, Russia is the world's largest producer of oil, but growth has slowed very substantially, and the future growth rate will be very sensitive to tax rates, costs, and regulation.

How do fluctuations in oil and gas prices affect Russia?

To understand Russia's position today on oil and gas, you have to go back to the collapse in 1998. The current leadership never wants to be in the position it found itself when oil prices collapsed back then.

The Russian government, led by finance minister Alexei Kudrin, has constructed a fiscal regime intended to insulate the economy from any future shocks. That means large government reserves and an oil stabilization fund that together, today, exceed $600 billion. This gives Russia two or even three years of protection against a downturn.

At the same time, these reserves have helped to keep down inflation and prevent the currency from appreciating more than it has. Kudrin certainly gets much credit inernationally for the management of Russia's fiscal position.

The bottom line is that Russia has very strong finances today, although there will be greater pressures to spend in an election year. As one of the senior officials put it in a private session, "At a time of high oil prices, we must resist all the temptations to spend."

Still the debate will continue as to how sensitive the Russian economy is to any downturns in oil prices. About 20 percent of GDP is accounted for by oil and gas export revenues, although obviously the indirect impact is a good deal larger.

Russia's economy has boomed under President Putin. What changes do you foresee from your discussions with business leaders when there is a change in leadership?

With perspective, one would say that, from an economic point of view, Putin's program has been directed to stabilization and restoring growth -- and restoring the state -- and state direction over the economy.

The macroeconomic results, as we heard at St. Petersburg, would never have been anticipated by either optimists or pessimists when he came to power. As a prominent American international financial figure put it when we were talking as the conference ended, "No one could have thought in 2000 that this was possible."

Putin's two most likely successors each scoped out at the conference the future emphasis from their current portfolios. First Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Ivanov pointed to aviation, shipbuilding, information technology, nanotechnology, space and nuclear power.

The Russian government is consolidating those sectors to make them internationally competitive. First Deputy Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev pointed to the "national projects" for which he's responsible -- spending on human capital, and reconstruction in health, education, housing, agriculture. With Russia's population shrinking and ageing, pensions are a very big issue; and a second oil fund, this one specifically for pensions, is in the works.

The buildup to last week's G8 saw some harsh words between Putin and President Bush over an antimissile shield with an ultimate effort to compromise. Is there a change in attitutude toward the U.S. among business leaders? is there a change in the way Russia is treating U.S. business?

Issues like missile defense and domestic politics were not much on the agenda -- except for the appearance of the Serbian prime minister on one plenary, apparently to register Russia's position on independence for Kosovo.

And of course there was much discussion about the controversy around energy issues. It was notable to see that the third speaker on one of the plenaries with President Putin and President Nazarbayev of Kazakhstan was Professir Francis Fukuyama of Johns Hopkins University talking about "trust" and "transparency."

And there was some interesting discussion at senior levels about "Russia's brand." Rule of law and contracts got a fair amount of attention, but that is because this conference was about trade and investment.

From the Russian side, despite some some political ripostes, the forum was mostly about doing business. Putin several times cited the surge of capital inflows into Russia -- and outward investment from Russia. The perspective was summed up by one of the senior people in a meeting with non-Russian CEOs. "Come to Russia with your capital, your money, your technology," he said. "We're delighted to see you here."

This time -- in contrast to earlier years -- he was talking to an audience that seemed quite interested in taking him up on his invitation. Perhaps the mood was captured by another senior figure when he, as almost an afterthought, told the same audience, "We're very business-oriented nowadays." There was a suggestion that perhaps this person himself was a little surprised to find himself in that position.

(ArticlesBase SC #171835)

Oilfield Services Companies In Russia 2009

Oilfield Services Companies in Russia 2009

Amid challenging economic situation 2009 has been a year of further consolidation of the oilfield services market in Russia, as a result of acquisitions, divestitures, mergers and alliances across all segments of the oilfield services industry. Current couple of years will show how mature and strong the market players are and who will come out of the crisis stronger. ( http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=130241&rt=Oilfield-Services-Companies-in-Russia-2009.html )

Oilfield Services Companies in Russia 2009 is the most detailed analysis of the key market segments:

* drilling
* well workovers
* seismic survey and geophysics
* intensification of oil production

Oilfield Services Companies in Russia 2009 presents over 120 detailed profiles of oilfield services companies grouped by the above mentioned segments.

Every company profile contains:

* brief description
* corporate structure (including subsidiaries)
* regions of operation
* list of services offered
* major customers
* operation facilities and indicators (2008 year-end)
* financial indicators (2008 year-end)

Oilfield Services Companies in Russia 2009 covers all types of market players:

* service departments of vertically-integrated companies
* oilfield service holdings (with profiles of subsidiaries)
* independent Russian oilfield services companies
* international oilfield services companies (including their earlier acquired Russian subsidiaries)

Oilfield Services Companies in Russia 2009 is a source of valuable information for:

* oil and gas companies
* services companies
* equipment manufacturers and suppliers
* banks and investment companies

To know more and to buy a copy of your report feel free to visit : http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=130241&rt=Oilfield-Services-Companies-in-Russia-2009.html

Or

Contact us at :

Bharat Book Bureau
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(ArticlesBase SC #1800531)

Oil Prices Climb on Speculation That Opec and Russia Will Cut Production

Speculation that oil prices are beginning to bottom helped push crude contracts higher yesterday (Wednesday), as traders closed out short positions and rumors surfaced that both Russia and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are planning to cut production next week.


Light, sweet crude for January delivery rose $1.45, or 3.4% to settle at $43.52 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after climbing by as much as 7% earlier in the day. Futures have plunged roughly 70% since hitting a record-high $147.27 a barrel in July. However, they may be set for a rebound as traders close out short positions and production cuts offset slackening demand.


Traders who took short positions on crude contracts, or placed bets that prices would fall, are buying contracts to cover those bets now that oil has dropped more than 20% in the past two weeks. Their exit from the market has been expedited by the belief that prices are nearing a bottom, as well as suggestions that both OPEC and Russia will cut production next week.


Russia will air proposals on oil production cuts no later than December 17, Sergei Shmatko, the nation’s energy minister, told Interfax.


“Right now we need to see where we stand with respect to OPEC’s stated position,” Shmatko said. “I know that OPEC is preparing serious plans to cut production.”


Shmatko added that OPEC President and Algerian Oil Minister, Chekib Khelil was keen “to see Russia in OPEC,” but that Russia rather see “non-OPEC suppliers consolidate their position in order to keep the market stable.”


OPEC members are scheduled to meet in Algeria on Dec. 17 to discuss further production cuts. Oil has fallen more than 30% since the cartel last slashed its production quota, a 1.5 million barrel per day (bpd) reduction on Oct. 24. Analysts anticipate the OPEC that the next supply cut could be anywhere between 1.5 million bpd and 2.5 million bpd.


“The expectation of an OPEC cut is going some way toward curbing the downward momentum in prices,” Toby Hassall, an analyst at investment firm Commodity Warrants Australia, told The Associated Press. “A cut of 1.5 million to 2 million barrels a day seems like a reasonable range.”


Demand for oil has plunged over the past six months, with the onset of what is shaping up to be a severe global downturn. In its last monthly oil outlook, issued Nov. 17, OPEC trimmed its 2009 demand forecast by 530,000 to 86.68 million bpd. The Paris-based International Energy Agency is expected announce a cut to its 2009 forecast in its monthly report, set for release tomorrow.


Still, many analysts believe the market has “overshot” the downside to oil, and that further production cuts will be enough to create a floor for prices.


“We’re probably in the early stages of forming a base at the moment, and the price will likely edge up toward $60 or $70 by the middle of next year,” Hassall said. “We probably overshot on the downside the same way we overshot to the upside earlier this year.”


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(ArticlesBase SC #679719)

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Why Dubai is Having Property Explosion? Dubai After Oil Boom!

Dubai's gross domestic product as of 2006 was US$46 billion. Although Dubai's economy was built on the back of the oil industry, revenues from oil and natural gas currently account for less than 3% of the emirate's revenues.

It is estimated that Dubai produces 240,000 barrels of oil a day and substantial quantities of gas from offshore fields. The emirate's share in UAE's gas revenues is about 2%. Dubai's oil reserves have diminished significantly and are expected to be exhausted in 20 years. Historically, Dubai and its twin across the Dubai creek, Deira (independent of Dubai City at that time), became important ports of call for Western manufacturers. Most of the new city's banking and financial centres were headquartered in the port area. Dubai maintained its importance as a trade route through the 1970s and 1980s. The city of Dubai has a free trade in gold and until the 1990s was the hub of a "brisk smuggling trade" of gold ingots to India, where gold import was restricted. Dubai is an important tourist destination and its port, Jebel Ali, constructed in the 1970s, has the largest man-made harbor in the world. Dubai is also increasingly developing as a hub for service industries such as IT and finance, with the establishment of a new Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC). The government has set up industry-specific free zones throughout the city. Dubai Internet City, combined with Dubai Media City as part of TECOM (Dubai Technology, Electronic Commerce and Media Free Zone Authority) is one such enclave whose members include IT firms such as EMC Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Microsoft, and IBM, and media organisations such as MBC, CNN, Reuters and AP. The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) was established in March 2000 as a secondary market for trading securities and bonds, both local and foreign. As of Q4 2006, its trading volume stood at about 400 billion shares worth US$ 95 billion. The DFM had a market capitalization of about US$ 87 billion. The government's decision to diversify from a trade-based but oil-reliant economy to one that is service and tourism-oriented has made real estate more valuable, resulting in the property appreciation from 2004–2006. Large scale real estate development projects, undertaken by firms such as Emaarskyscrapers in the world such as the Emirates Towers, the Pentominium and the world's tallest hotel, the Burj Al Arab. As of July 2007, Burj Dubai -also being constructed by Emaar Properties- is already the world's tallest structure and is expected to be taller by several hundred feet, once construction is complete. Properties, have led to the construction of some of the tallest Recently, the Land Department set up the Real Estate Regulatory Authority (RERA) to regulate developers and safeguard consumers from errant parties. All developers are required to register with the RERA, provide documents and verifiable facts about their properties, and setup escrow accounts to protect consumers' money. KM Properties, a member of KM Holding, was the first company to register with the Land Department. Organizations within Dubai have expressed an intention to invest in medical tourism, including the Emaar group's plans in India. Within Dubai, there is considerable interest in developing this market, and the Dubai Healthcare City is scheduled to open by 2010.. There will be a corresponding increasing need for attention to quality and to quality control in healthcare within Dubai, including international healthcare accreditation.Moving to dubai consult 1Dubai propertyLeading neutral advice when considering property.

Seismic Energy Dissipation Devices

Seismic Energy Dissipation Devices